The 4 Natural Laws of Bitcoin

Law 1: There are cycles of Bitcoin. The price of the Bitcoin in each cycle is 10 times more than the former cycle. Each cycle has 4 Seasons:

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A. Spring of flowers and fruits (the years 2013, 2017, 2021)

B. Summer of death (2014, 2018, 2022)

C. Autumn of strengthening the underground roots (2011, 2015, 2019)

D. Winter of a lot of rain, halving(2012, 2016, 2020)

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The Model of Plan B is mainly of Supply (S/F Stock to Flow). But what about Demand? The rules of demand:

A. Metcalfe rule — The value of the network is a function of the number of its links = ~N²

B. Huber-Hettinga rule— The value of the network as a function of the costs of its switches.

C. West rule— The value of the network as a function of its cost of scaling

D. Szabo rule— The value of the network as a function of the cost of its links = ~N⁴

Law 2: The Demand Side. The Price 0f the Bitcoin = ^N-4 (Where N is the power of the number of the users of the Bitcoin)

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“It has the potential for a positive feedback loop; as users increase, the value goes up, which could attract more users to take advantage of the increasing value.” — Satoshi Nakamoto.

Law 3, The Price in each cycle is about 1,600% of the price of the former cycle.

2013 ~1, 200$

2017 ~20,000$

2021 ~ 320,000$

Law 4, Ethereum price is always 2–10% of the Bitcoin Price (because it is one cycle less the Bitcoin)

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https://medium.com/@danhedl/planting-bitcoin-gardening-4-4-c88ec5813674

https://medium.com/deep-code/lets-get-this-straight-bitcoin-is-an-experiment-in-self-organizing-collective-intelligence-52d78212c5e6

https://medium.com/@BrandonQuittem/bitcoin-is-a-decentralized-organism-mycelium-part-1-3-6ec58cdcfaa6

https://medium.com/@BrandonQuittem/bitcoin-is-a-social-creature-mushroom-part-2-3-6a05c3abe8f0

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